As the 2024 hurricane season approaches its final stretch, Florida finds itself once again on edge. A new storm system is developing in the Caribbean, and with a year already marked by historic weather patterns and catastrophic damage, residents are left wondering whether the Sunshine State will be targeted once again.
Helene and Milton: Florida’s Double Hit
In late September, Hurricane Helene, the fifth hurricane of the 2024 season, struck the Eastern side of the United States, including Florida, Georgia, Tennessee, and North Carolina, with devastating force, claiming over 200 lives. It was the second major hurricane of the year and left behind a trail of destruction in its wake.
Barely two weeks later, Florida was battered again, this time by Hurricane Milton. The back-to-back blows caused widespread damage, temporarily shutting down iconic destinations like Walt Disney World Resort and Universal Orlando Resort.
But now, just as the state begins to recover, meteorologists have turned their focus to yet another brewing storm system. Earlier this week, Click Orlando reported that “[The] National Hurricane Center has highlighted our newest area of interest and already bumped odds up to a 40% chance of development by this time next week.” Should this storm strengthen, it will be christened, Sara, adding yet another chapter to an already tumultuous hurricane season.
Click Orlando’s report sheds light on the atmospheric setup: “The trough extending down toward the south opens up a pathway for the system to not only take advantage of additional rising motions in the atmosphere but to naturally gravitate toward this area of low pressure.” This pattern suggests that Sara could have a clear path toward the southeastern United States, depending on how the conditions evolve over the coming days.
Two cold fronts are forecasted to push through Florida shortly, and meteorologists are carefully monitoring their impact on steering this new tropical system. As noted, “There is another large cold front expected to come through the eastern half of the country shortly after this initial push of cooler, drier air.”
That’s the key in terms of determining if this future feature could head our way or completely disappear thanks to the fresh batch of shear and dry air associated with our fall front.” Depending on the timing and strength of these fronts, they could either disrupt the storm’s development or funnel it directly into the Gulf of Mexico, setting Florida on edge once again.
Now, a new report has surfaced, that gives more information on just what might happen with the future storm Sara. “The more it stays on land, the weaker the storm will be once it eventually enters the Gulf of Mexico by next week,” a November 14 report from Click Orlando reads. “If the system remains enough offshore, it could intensify further.”
Meteorologists acknowledge they don’t know what form the storm will take as it moves into the Gulf of Mexico but end their report by warning of a potential future impact: “This is a system all Floridians should continue to monitor as we get a better handle on the future of this storm.”
What’s been most confounding for experts this year is how storms have defied expectations. Earlier in November, Hurricane Rafael took an unusual westward path through the Gulf of Mexico, a stark deviation from the typical November trajectory that usually leads toward Florida’s coastline.
This unexpected course has sparked concern that the current atmospheric conditions could similarly impact the formation and direction of future storms, including the potential storm Sara.
Will you be monitoring this tropical disturbance? Let Disney Fanatic know in the comments down below!